Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 11.606989 13.025393 14.590483 16.452774 18.617653 21.066120 24.060647
2025-10-26 9.900890 11.797408 14.053081 16.960803 20.649065 25.224896 31.415981
2025-11-02 8.626700 10.685775 13.258163 16.757476 21.471589 27.717522 36.818848
2025-11-09 7.677802 9.802844 12.562454 16.482094 22.029120 29.793960 41.852141
2025-11-16 6.972886 9.132481 12.030491 16.302460 22.614240 31.893065 47.162769
2025-11-23 6.325210 8.461326 11.407526 15.889288 22.760637 33.303327 51.572979
2025-11-30 5.876749 8.017689 11.047305 15.795222 23.337520 35.401345 57.406437
2025-12-07 5.347223 7.409712 10.388462 15.169582 22.986602 35.925442 60.561545
2025-12-14 4.847909 6.806262 9.683718 14.397125 22.296466 35.766317 62.402303
2025-12-21 4.521130 6.434648 9.297343 14.088241 22.331694 36.845493 66.755934
2025-12-28 4.618460 6.708943 9.922431 15.478828 25.435006 43.862871 84.421310
2026-01-04 4.486144 6.615096 9.953814 15.868729 26.796201 47.810839 96.503681
2026-01-11 4.186049 6.245527 9.526539 15.452404 26.671516 48.927242 102.731152
2026-01-18 4.076181 6.174820 9.587362 15.908584 28.270597 53.835810 119.327260
2026-01-25 3.861865 5.917407 9.311892 15.721749 28.573302 56.026016 129.659472
2026-02-01 3.655378 5.659504 9.016027 15.467116 28.703168 57.847828 139.512249
2026-02-08 3.480774 5.444388 8.778980 15.301034 28.994575 60.083910 151.191676
2026-02-15 3.287036 5.185206 8.446232 14.918890 28.776467 61.072801 159.473964
2026-02-22 3.152038 5.019854 8.270842 14.831863 29.194508 63.692065 173.690918
2026-03-01 2.956853 4.738912 7.867686 14.252799 28.441386 63.226164 177.672312
2026-03-08 2.756085 4.438936 7.413582 13.537254 27.305969 61.612353 177.344682
2026-03-15 2.626614 4.259997 7.175047 13.250939 27.144308 62.578594 186.555312
2026-03-22 2.707661 4.462874 7.665995 14.539076 30.893989 75.006230 243.777730